Friday 18 October 2013

Far East Hospitality REIT

Are you surprised that the debt ceiling has been raised further? I am certainly not. 
The last quarter of the year has begun, everything is in full swing, an exciting time for people who are just coming back to the markets. 

I could have held on to my capital a little longer as the ongoing US government shutdown continued to bring the broader market down and with it many high quality stocks. However i chose to ignore the noise and buy on fundamental strength. Having a vision for the long-term is very important in investing in equities. Build on your portfolio when things are looking down, sit back and relax as people rush into the markets because you have already taken positions. 

For example, I have been buying more of Far East Hospitality REITs and CACHE REIT when they were down. My average buy price has come down quite a bit. Fundamentally FarEast is strong but still quite RISKY, technically speaking.

 
As it is with all recent IPOs, we cannot really judge the fair market value. However we know that there is support at IPO price of $0.93 and more recenly $0.84 (recent bottom). The problem is we do not know how low it can go. What i do know is that Far East is a great organisation and proper management and their property portfolio is strong. If its share price is a true reflection of how hotels and service residences perform during end of year tourism spikes, I am confident that its share price will definitely test resistance levels of $0.96. That is a critical resistance level to cross if the trend is going to reverse. Otherwise, we may be looking at a downward trend without a significant bottom.

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