Thursday 14 March 2013

Few tips To Investment Planning


Investing requires discipline and I cannot stress enough the need to stick to certain set of rules. Lets look at a couple of rules I have agreed to before I began investing.

Rule Number 1: Make use of Compounding

Compounding is vital to grow your investments over time and anybody can do it as long as you stick to the following principles. In order to compound successfully, you need perseverance, knowledge of how it works and most importantly TIME. One should have the understanding of how compounding actually works so that he/she can stick to a savings and investment plan. I put TIME in bold because unfortunately this is no get-rich-quick scheme, compounding works only through time. But there is a catch, you MUST keep your investment money aside, that means no spending it. Although it may be boring, for people with itchy fingers want to move money around to riskier investment vehicles, just endure until such time as to when you really need the money. It should get a little more interesting after 8 to 10 years of continuous, uninterrupted compounding.
Let us look at a typical example i picked out from the internet, you can just google "power of compounding" and get so many examples.  But here's one from ICMARC website: 

http://www.icmarc.com/Images/investments/COTW/20080328startsavingearly.gif

For someone who starts contributing (annually $4k) into his retirement plan 10 years earlier can expect to compound at least twice the amount if he were to start contributing at a later time.
Another study done by Market Logic in US, shows how compounding magic can happen even if you stop contributing on a yearly basis.

Let us assume investor (B) opening a retirement fund at age 19. For 7 consecutive years, he contributes $2000  at an average growth rate of 10% (7% + interest). Then he stops putting anymore money into his retirement fund.
A second investor (A) makes no contributions until the age of 26 (same age at which investor B stops contributing to his retirement fund) but investor A starts to diligently contribute $2000 annually until he is 65 years old. (assuming the same 10% growth rate.
Look at the incredible results in the table below. Investor B ends up with higher return on investment (ROI) than A but he only contributed for 7 years (total: $14,000). Investor B on the other hand kept contributing $2000/year for 40 years. (total of 2000x40 = $80,000). The only difference being that B has had 7 more early years of compounding than A which were worth more than all of investor A's 33 additional contributions.


table1
* If you are below the age of 25 and reading this, i urge you to go and start investing little by little in your own choice of blue-chip stocks. Its not too late for your kids too, I suggest starting early for your kids. It's a study which i wish i discovered earlier because i had a "poor dad" using the definition by Robert Kiyosaki in his popular book "Rich Dad, Poor Dad". Unfortunately my father did not feel that his kids needed to learn about money, he only taught us to save, get a good job and save some more. Having a saving plan running concurrently with your investment plan is very important too, but as a rule, i never keep more than 8 months living expenses in my bank account.

Rule Number 2: Try Not to Lose Money

This may sound funny to some but i think we should have the mentality of not losing money unnecessarily. If we want to preserve our capital and eventually grow it, we must aim not to lose big money. I have noticed that most people do end up losing money through gambling, ridiculous investment schemes, poorly executed business deals, greed and often times poor market timing. Over the years, there have been so many cases in Singapore where people lost money in the stock market, options, futures, in terrible loans, mindless gambling and in their own business. This rule may be simple, but we have to be disciplined in the way we spend our money and perform due dilligence enterning into any kind of investment.

Rule Number 3: It takes Money to make Money 

The wealthy investor has a major advantage over the smalltime amateur investor, they have the MONEY. One can argue that actually the wealthy investor does not need the market, somehow the market always moves in their favour. Understand the wealthy investor's mindset, he already has all the income he needs, not depending on the investment outcome, removing all emotions out of the equation. He probabaly has money invested in BONDS, Treasury-bills, Money market funds, Stocks, Real Estate and Other Business shareholdings.

The wealthy investor is an expert is seeing VALUE. For example, he would invest in Bonds when its cheap and yields are high or move his money to Stocks when they are cheap with higher yields. With the ultimate goal of acquiring REAL ASSETS, eventually these investors buy real estate, physical gold, jewellery, expensive watches, diamonds and artwork; Things with great value. Another thing is when there is no opportunity presenting itself, they can afford to wait. We need to have patience.

What about the little guy with little or no money? They feel pressurised to make money, or SAVE, SAVE, SAVE into a bank. This is madness at current interest rates less than 1%, being offered by banks. When the small investor is not buying overvalued stocks offerting 1-2% yields, he is off to gamble away his hard earned savings like buying lottery tickets or some ridiculous get-rich quick scheme. The small investor is always trying to force the market to do something for him, he is a guaranteed loser. Without understanding VALUES, he constantly overpays swayed by his/her emotions. I like this statement which i found on the internet : "He who understands interest - earns it. He who doesn't understand interest - pays it". The poor guy usually end up in huge debts, making payments on his house, electronic equipments (Thanks to COURTS easy installment plans), loses money gambling...in short always runs after money.

So why is it that life is unfair, wealthy people always have the upper hand? I thought the poor always maintain a strict discipline of never overspending. Instead of taking his extra savings and compounding it in smart income producing securities, we always see them in debt. The usual answer is "I'm not making enough money". Although I symphathise on this situation, I know its possible to take two jobs, upgrade your skills, lower your monthly expenditure, do whatever it takes to work towards financial freedom. Be Positive. It makes alot of difference, both in one's mental attitude and in the way one actually handles one's money.

Rule Number 4: Investment Value

Usually I will suggest that one should stick to the basic compounding system and let it work over time. But if the opportunity arises when the market offer great value, Take it! [like post Dot.Com bubble (2001), Post-Subprime crisis (2008)] I would judge an investment to be of great value if it presents Lower Risk, Attractive Return(yield), Capital Appreciation. The key to making money is definitely to stay liquid, move your money from one market to another, follow the basic rule of buying undervalued investments.

5 comments:

  1. You are absolutely correct! I decided to invest some of my cash for lump sum advance into a retirement fund due to the lack of retirement options out there these days. It's getting harder to save for retirement because of the droughts in retirement options that's why I try to save as much as I can. Are there any tips on retirement investments you can offer me?

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    Replies
    1. Sorry for the late response. Retirement based investments should be low risk, low but constant returns year after year. Depending on your age, if below 30, start by having a separate fund for retirement. If you are based in Singapore, there are several ways in which you can do this, there is of course the CPF retirement account, then SRS (Savings retirement scheme) which allows you to save and invest part of your salary into "safe" dividend paying funds and stocks with tax benefits. Over time, lets say 20-30 years later after experiencing 3 to 4 market crash every 7 years, take advantage of these moments to build on those funds whenever possible. At the end of the line, you will be looking at a good healthy retirement fund. Good luck and keep reading.

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  2. Time is really very important thing before any investment planning. I’m gonna change my all business schedule of investment and put their base on time.
    VCT

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